WCPEC-8 Side Event: PV Scenarios: now and then (IEA PVPS Task 1)

27 September 2022 - 15:15 - 16:45
WCPEC-8, Milan

Forecasting the development of PV has always been a balancing act between realism and optimism. From the beginning of its deployment, PV scenarios and forecasts have significantly underestimated PV development, with sound arguments. This event will browse through some past scenarios comparing them with actual PV market trajectories, and build on these past experiences to consider what awaits the sector going forward. With PV having reached 1 TW of total installed capacity this year and being poised to cross the 200 GW mark of annual installations in 2022, it is time to reflect on the mistakes from the past and embrace optimism towards the TW-era.